Modelo econométrico para la proyección diaria del precio de mercado del tipo de cambio (COP/USD) para servicios Nutresa S.A.S.

In a developing economy such as colombia, based on the production of primary goods and largely determined by external demand, the exchange rate becomes a very important variable to ensure internal stability and efficient continuity of the economy.sistema. particularly in our country, the colombian peso-dollar parity has been gaining sensitivity to the multiple factors that could have a direct influence on its price, for example in 2014 it was ranked as the most devalued currency in latin america, after which in 2010, it was ranked as the fifth least volatile (from a sample of 13 countries in the world). said instability on the rise,it creates the intrinsic need to know with certain precision which are the circumstances that cause significant changes in the currency, and even more in what way and in what sense they do it. likewise, the elaboration of econometric models that allow a reliable projection of the same, having as a central axis the aforementioned elements, which in one way or another address such an important variable in the national environment.

Desarrollar e implementar un modelo econométrico que permita una proyección confiable del tipo de cambio en colombia, partiendo de un análisis a priori de las posibles variables que lo direccionan.

Implementación de los modelos de proyección de la tasa de cambio peso-dólar, en decisiones financieras. formar profesionales con experiencia en investigación y de análisis, con manejo de herramientas novedosas en la aplicación de modelos financieros para la solución de problemas empresariales. fortalecer el desarrollo de las líneas de investigación en el programa. promover el posicionamiento del programa de ingeniería financiera en el medio académico y profesional