TY - JOUR
T1 - Evaluation of climate change adaptation in the energy generation sector in Colombia via a composite index — A monitoring tool for government policies and actions
AU - Londoño Pineda, Abraham Allec
AU - Vélez Rojas (Oscar), Oscar Alonso
AU - Jonathan, M. P.
AU - Sujitha, S. B.
N1 - Funding Information:
The present study is part of the Doctorate program for AALP and OAVR in University of Medellin, Colombia. Authors MPJ and SBS thank the Sistema Nacional de Investigadores (SNI), CONACyT, Mexico. This article also forms the part of the ?Scientific Development Program? initiated in University of Medellin, Colombia, during 2014. This article is also a partial contribution from Earth System Science Group (ESSG) (No. 106), Chennai, India (Participating members: MPJ & SBS).
PY - 2019/11/15
Y1 - 2019/11/15
N2 - The aim of the article is to evaluate the national adaptation to climate change in the energy generation sector in Colombia via a composite index. To build an index, a framework by stages is used, which includes the definition of the main concepts that supports the measurements; the selection of the relevant indicators using a subject matter experts; standardization of the indicators using a mathematic formula regarding the relationship between the variables that represent the adaptation to climate change; and establishment of the weights using an analytic hierarchical process of paired comparisons and the aggregation of indicators to obtain the following three sub-indexes: reactive adaptation, wherein the replacement of hydraulic energy by thermal energy is evaluated; anticipatory adaptation, which measures the gap between the generation of total energy and the demand of the national energy system; and planned adaptation, which considers indicators such as the sectoral plan for adapting to climate change, the law of alternative energies, and the generation of alternative energies as a percentage of generation capacity. By adding these sub-indices, the climate change adaptation index (CCAI) is obtained. The results of CCAI show that progress was made from a reactive adaptation scenario in which the system vulnerability was high to an anticipatory adaptation scenario wherein the vulnerability was average, indicating that the foundations for this sector to build a planned adaptation are currently being laid.
AB - The aim of the article is to evaluate the national adaptation to climate change in the energy generation sector in Colombia via a composite index. To build an index, a framework by stages is used, which includes the definition of the main concepts that supports the measurements; the selection of the relevant indicators using a subject matter experts; standardization of the indicators using a mathematic formula regarding the relationship between the variables that represent the adaptation to climate change; and establishment of the weights using an analytic hierarchical process of paired comparisons and the aggregation of indicators to obtain the following three sub-indexes: reactive adaptation, wherein the replacement of hydraulic energy by thermal energy is evaluated; anticipatory adaptation, which measures the gap between the generation of total energy and the demand of the national energy system; and planned adaptation, which considers indicators such as the sectoral plan for adapting to climate change, the law of alternative energies, and the generation of alternative energies as a percentage of generation capacity. By adding these sub-indices, the climate change adaptation index (CCAI) is obtained. The results of CCAI show that progress was made from a reactive adaptation scenario in which the system vulnerability was high to an anticipatory adaptation scenario wherein the vulnerability was average, indicating that the foundations for this sector to build a planned adaptation are currently being laid.
KW - Adaptation to climate change
KW - Colombia
KW - Composite index
KW - Energy generation
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85072342561&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109453
DO - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109453
M3 - Artículo
AN - SCOPUS:85072342561
VL - 250
JO - Journal of Environmental Management
JF - Journal of Environmental Management
SN - 0301-4797
M1 - 109453
ER -